Industry experts are cautiously optimistic about 2025, but there are a few key trends to watch. Let's break down the forecast into supply, demand, and wildcards.
Supply: Will Marigolds Bounce Back?
The good news: early projections for marigold crops in 2025 are positive. India, which produces over 60% of the world's marigold-based carotenoids, is expecting a near-record harvest thanks to favorable monsoon forecasts. New farming techniques, like drip irrigation and disease-resistant marigold varieties, are also helping boost yields. Additionally, a new extraction plant in Brazil (a country with growing agricultural capacity) is set to come online in Q2 2025, increasing global supply by an estimated 10%.
However, climate change remains a wildcard. If El Niño conditions persist, they could bring droughts to parts of Africa or excessive rain to Southeast Asia, both of which could hurt marigold crops. For now, though, the supply outlook is stable to slightly positive.
Demand: Still Rising, But How Fast?
Demand for zeaxanthin is expected to grow by 7–9% in 2025, driven by a few key factors:
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Aging populations:
In the U.S., Europe, and Japan, the number of people over 65 is rising, and with it, demand for AMD-preventing supplements. A 2024 report from the World Health Organization (WHO) highlighted
zeaxanthin benefits
for eye health, which is likely to fuel consumer interest.
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Screen time:
Kids and teens are spending more time than ever on devices, and parents are increasingly turning to supplements to protect their eyes. A recent survey found that 40% of U.S. parents now buy eye health supplements for their children, up from 25% in 2020.
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Beauty from within:
The "nutricosmetics" trend—using supplements to support skin health—is booming. Zeaxanthin's antioxidant properties make it a popular ingredient in anti-aging pills and powders, adding a new layer of demand.
One area to watch: the
best lutein zeaxanthin supplement
market. Consumers are increasingly seeking high-purity, third-party tested products, which means manufacturers are willing to pay more for premium zeaxanthin extract. This could drive up prices for high-quality, organic, or non-GMO zeaxanthin, even if bulk, standard-grade prices stay stable.
Wildcards: Energy Costs and Regulations
Energy prices are a big unknown. If oil and natural gas prices rise (due to geopolitical tensions or OPEC+ cuts), extraction and shipping costs will go up, pushing zeaxanthin prices higher. On the flip side, if renewable energy becomes more affordable (thanks to solar or wind advancements), extraction costs could drop.
Regulations are another factor. The EU is considering stricter labeling requirements for supplements, which could increase compliance costs for manufacturers. In the U.S., the FDA may update its guidance on zeaxanthin dosages, which could either boost demand (if higher dosages are recommended) or slow it (if lower dosages are advised).
Putting It All Together: 2025 Price Predictions
Based on current trends, here's what we might see for wholesale zeaxanthin extract (10% purity) in 2025:
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Standard-grade zeaxanthin:
Prices are likely to stay stable or rise slightly (3–5%) due to balanced supply and steady demand. Look for average prices of $190–$210/kg in North America, €185–€205/kg in Europe, and $175–$195/kg in Asia.
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Premium-grade zeaxanthin (organic, non-GMO):
Prices could rise by 8–10% as demand for high-quality supplements grows. Expect to pay $240–$260/kg in North America and similar increases in other regions.